Where are we with Honduras?

There's been a lot of resumed chatter about the Honduras situation and given that I've been traveling again lately, am only now having the time to catch up to it.

Poder 360, a publication which I am only somewhat familiar with, has a 3,500 word story recounting the Zelaya saga. Two passages jump out at me, in reverse order. First, on Zelaya's conversion into card-carrying member of Club Hugo:

Chávez didn't go down well in conservative Honduras, but Zelaya blamed lack of help from the U.S. and others for his left turn. "I've been looking for projects from the IADB and Europe, and found a modest response. They don't have emergency funds and I've been obligated to attract new forms of financing like ALBA," he told Reuters in an interview.

The significance of this is mostly directed at the region's multilateral institutions, and somewhat similar to the knot that the world's multilateral institutions find themselves in with regards to China's growing influence in developing countries, principally Africa and Latin America. The conundrum is precisely this: using transparent governance and/or human rights considerations as a negotiating lever with developing countries has decreasing effect in the face of regimes (China in the global context, Venezuela in the regional context) that are willing to make deals without any sort of lip service to such concerns.

Next passage that drew my attention, which effectively answers the "why should we care?" question but doesn't do so until halfway through the article, is this:

Honduras' crisis has thrown a growing regional problem into sharp relief: the trend of democratically elected presidents attempting to stay in power past their designated time in order to carry out a populist and leftist agenda. These leaders, led by Venezuela's Hugo Chávez, have used the region's historic poverty and inequality to gain support from the poor. On the way, they have created deep divisions and accentuated class hatreds while concentrating power by increasing government control over the economy and media.

Zelaya, a 57-year-old former rancher and logger, is part of this group that includes Chávez, Rafael Correa in Ecuador, Evo Morales in Bolivia and Daniel Ortega in Nicaragua. In July, Ortega announced plans for a referendum to rewrite Nicaragua's constitution to allow him to be re-elected indefinitely, something Chávez has already achieved in oil-rich Venezuela.

A similar move by Zelaya is responsible for the unrest in Honduras. For more than a year, Zelaya led a drive to rewrite the constitution to abolish term limits. On the day soldiers rousted him out of bed, he was planning a referendum to call a constitutional assembly, even though the vote had been declared illegal by the country's Supreme Court.

And shortly after: 

...Washington's insistence that Zelaya return to power has angered many middle-class Hondurans, who feel the U.S. has profoundly misread the situation. They view Zelaya's ouster not as a coup but a legal and patriotic defense of the country's institutions from a Chávez-style power grab.

"The terror of Chávez goes beyond the rational, it's a panic," says Edmundo Orellana, Zelaya's former defense minister, who blames the fear inspired by Chávez for Zelaya's ouster. Moises Starkman, who advised Zelaya on special projects and now works for the interim government, also blames Chávez. "This is a showdown which will determine if the Chávista model triumphs or not," he says.

More to come soon on this no doubt, but for now one thing that is becoming clearer is that every single option the U.S. faced vis-à-vis the Honduras situation was a loser. It was merely a matter of choosing the poison.

Finally, not touched on at all in the Poder article is how Micheletti has done himself absolutely no favours since becoming acting president, but more on that another time.

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1 Comments

Everybody in Honduras considers Micheletti as something akin to a national hero for all time, for his stance vis-a-vis the very wrong-headed worldwide official support for a coup d'etat in Honduras in the name of stopping a coup 'etat. The whole thing is an outrageous oxymoron applied.

His inexperience in dealing with the psychological warfare unleashed by all available official Venezuelan disinformation agents and operatives within Honduras, only speaks to his favor.

Hondurans, both rich and even more significantly the POOR of Honduras, are shocked at the big ugly American bully come back with an vengeance only this time supporting a Communist coup and overthrow of their republican form of government, in their own country!

--trutherator

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