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    <title>Robert Amsterdam</title>
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    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2008-10-29://1</id>
    <updated>2009-07-03T19:43:38Z</updated>
    <subtitle>Perspectives on Global Politics and Business</subtitle>
    <generator uri="http://www.sixapart.com/movabletype/">Movable Type Pro 4.21-en</generator>

<entry>
    <title>Business Is an Unhappy Camper in Russia</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/business_is_an_unhappy_camper_in_russia.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19266</id>

    <published>2009-07-03T19:40:08Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-03T19:43:38Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[Reuters is reporting that the Russian authorities are cutting down on the number of CEOs allowed to join the parallel business summit, and are planning on moving it from a luxury hotel to inside the Kremlin to keep tighter control.&nbsp;...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>James</name>
        <uri>http://www.robertamsterdam.com</uri>
    </author>
    
    <category term="business" label="business" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="russia" label="russia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[<a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/feedarticle/8590167">Reuters</a> is reporting that the Russian authorities are cutting down on the number of CEOs allowed to join the parallel business summit, and are planning on moving it from a luxury hotel to inside the Kremlin to keep tighter control.&nbsp; That just looks bad.<br /><br /><blockquote>U.S. businessmen are expected to
use a Russia-U.S. business summit on Tuesday to press Moscow to
rein in corruption and improve conditions for western companies
operating in the country. (...)<div><br /> </div><div> "It looks like the Kremlin doesn't really want this
discussion and Russian business is not very keen either," said
one industry source. (...)<br /></div><br /><div> And in a sign of unease about the business summit, industry
sources say the list of executives who will meet Obama and
Medvedev may be cut to 10 from each side from 18 and access for
media may also be restricted.<br /><br />They also said the meeting could be moved to the Kremlin
from a luxury hotel, in a further indication that Russian
authorities wanted to keep a tight grip on the talks. The
Kremlin declined to comment.</div></blockquote>


<br /> ]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Russia&apos;s Reluctance on Iran</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/russias_reluctance_on_iran.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19265</id>

    <published>2009-07-03T19:31:30Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-03T19:37:48Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[We often hear from U.S. observers all about the mutual interests that Washington and the Kremlin share in curbing Iran's march toward nuclear proliferation and other indications of growing hostility, yet it's funny how we usually see nothing but obstruction.&nbsp;...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>James</name>
        <uri>http://www.robertamsterdam.com</uri>
    </author>
    
    <category term="americas" label="americas" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="asia" label="asia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="russia" label="russia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[We often hear from U.S. observers all about the mutual interests that Washington and the Kremlin share in curbing Iran's march toward nuclear proliferation and other indications of growing hostility, yet <a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/01/mixed_messages_behind_russias_arms_sales_to_iran.htm">it's funny</a> how we usually see nothing but obstruction.&nbsp; We've speculated in the past that Russia benefits most from preserving the status quo, and want to <a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2007/12/nuclear_energy_missiles_and_pipelines_russias_swing_position_with_iran.htm">maintain their swing position</a>.&nbsp; This opinion from David Kramer is also interesting:&nbsp; for one, Russia may indeed be interested in seeing U.S. diplomacy succeed in Iran (indeed they are more directly threatened), but they want to see other countries do the heavy lifting.&nbsp; Secondly, they just <a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2008/10/russias_false_friendship_with_iran.htm">don't have all that much influence</a> over Tehran.&nbsp; From <a href="http://www.voanews.com/english/2009-07-02-voa55.cfm">Voice of America</a>:<br /><br /><blockquote><span class="body">But other analysts, including David Kramer, a former
senior U.S. State Department official in the Bush administration (now
with the German Marshall Fund in the United States), say Russia's
influence over Iran is limited.</span><br /><span class="body"></span><br /><span class="body">"I've been skeptical about
Russia's ability: one - to have leverage to use over Iran, and two -
its willingness to do so, even if it did have it," said David Kramer.
"Russia has a lot of interests in Iran: significant trade, nuclear
reactor construction, energy, arms sales. And I've been of the view
that Russia would much prefer for the United States and other countries
to play the role of the bad guy, to lean on Iran, to be the one pushing
for sanctions while Russia stays in the background."</span><br /></blockquote> ]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Who wears the pants in this diarchy?</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/who_wears_the_pants_in_this_diarchy.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19264</id>

    <published>2009-07-03T19:11:48Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-03T19:21:53Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[Is it a mistake for President Barack Obama to only meet with President Dmitry Medvedev?&nbsp; Andrew Kuchins thinks so.&nbsp; From the Moscow Times:There should be no illusions about where ultimate decision-making authority in Russia resides today. The "tandem" is a...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>James</name>
        <uri>http://www.robertamsterdam.com</uri>
    </author>
    
    <category term="americas" label="americas" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="russia" label="russia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[Is it a mistake for President Barack Obama to only meet with President Dmitry Medvedev?&nbsp; Andrew Kuchins thinks so.&nbsp; From <a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/1016/42/379239.htm">the Moscow Times</a>:<br /><br /><blockquote>There should be no illusions about where ultimate decision-making
authority in Russia resides today. The "tandem" is a fiction, of
course. Obama must operate under the assumption that on any issue of
importance to him -- from nuclear arms reductions to Afghanistan to Iran
-- the ultimate arbiter for Russian policy is Putin.<br /><br />This does not mean that meeting with Medvedev is a waste of time, but
it must be assumed that every position taken by Medvedev has been
blessed by his mentor. Obama must also harbor no illusion that the
United States can take measures in Moscow to empower Medvedev or his
Western-leaning colleagues in the government.&nbsp; (...)<br /><br />Since Putin is clearly the most important and powerful figure in
Russia, I hope that Obama does not shy away from engaging with him in
an environment where they can have a real discussion. Obama should go
to Putin's dacha and take a walk in the woods -- with or without
translators -- and say what needs to be said in a clear and forceful way.<br /></blockquote>I like this last idea of the private talk.&nbsp; With so much emphasis placed upon Russia's leadership needing to "<a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/06/video_stratfor_on_the_obama-medvedev_summit.htm">look tough</a>" in front of the new administration, as well as the <a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/a_bouquet_of_russian_myths.htm">general consensus</a> that the Kremlin is unsure of what it wants beyond respect, this approach could help to strip away some of these extenuating factors.<br /> ]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Khodorkovsky: My Life in the Gulag</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/khodorkovsky_my_life_in_the_gulag.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19263</id>

    <published>2009-07-03T18:56:40Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-03T19:10:42Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[The following is an English translation of an interview with Mikhail Khodorkovsky in the Italian magazine L'Espresso:My life in a gulag&nbsp;Talks with Mikhail Khodorkovsky by Gigi Riva The political and economic interests behind his case. The difficult life in prison....]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>James</name>
        <uri>http://www.robertamsterdam.com</uri>
    </author>
    
    <category term="russia" label="russia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[The following is an English translation of an interview with Mikhail Khodorkovsky in the Italian magazine <a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/lespresso.pdf">L'Espresso</a>:<br /><br /><span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-image" style="display: inline;"><a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/mbk070209.htm" onclick="window.open('http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/mbk070209.htm','popup','width=610,height=670,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0'); return false"><img src="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/mbk070209-thumb-200x219.jpg" alt="mbk070209.jpg" class="mt-image-right" style="margin: 0pt 0pt 20px 20px; float: right;" width="200" height="219" /></a></span><p><b>My life in a gulag&nbsp;</b></p><p><i><b>Talks with Mikhail Khodorkovsky by Gigi Riva </b></i></p>

<p><i>The political and economic interests behind his case. The difficult life in prison. His enemy Putin. The desire of redemption. Exclusive interview with Mikhail Khodorkovsky, the former Russian richest man. </i></p>

<p>He will struggle, Mikhail Khodorkovsky, "until death or release." Former oligarch and patron of Yukos, in jail for the last six years for tax evasion, fraud, money laundering, is having a second trial (see box). In this exclusive interview with 'L'espresso', made possible by his lawyers who addressed him our questions in prison, Khodorkovsky pinpoints the political and economic interest behind his troubles. He talks about Putin and Medvedev as well as about Berlusconi. He speaks about the prisons and the moments in which, even today, in 2009, they can become gulag. However, he still has hope. For himself. For his country. </p>

<p><b>Mr. Khodorkovsky, may you please describe a typical day in prison? </b><br /><br />
</p>]]>
        <![CDATA[The main thing in prison is - self-discipline. Therefore, no matter
where the power throws me, whatever conditions I find myself in - get
up in the morning, do calisthenics, take a stroll through the cell,
work with papers. Everything else - depending on the situation. If the
conditions are human - good, if not - we can survive. I miss only
family: wife, children, parents.<br /><br /><b>What have so many years in a Siberian jail meant for a successful businessman as yourself?  </b><br /><br />Confinement encourages a more philosophical, unhurried, strategic
conceptualisation of the world. At first you try to react to everything
quickly, like on the outside. But the conditions do not allow this.
There is time to think again and again - and yet again. Gradually, you
get accustomed to it.<br /><br /><b>It seems that this new trial will not be fair, will you continue fighting or are you giving up?</b><br /><br />Personal liberty for a person, in my opinion, is the most important
thing. Therefore, without a doubt, I am going to continue the struggle
until death or release.<br /><br /><b>Do you believe there are any differences between Vladimir Putin and
the new President Dmitry Medvedev? I mean, do you think the new
President is more open to democracy issues or is he only an expression
of Putin?</b><br /><br />Putin and Medvedev, without a doubt, are very different people. But
political expediency is for now on the side of preserving the stability
of the "tandem". However, such a thing as having two presidents does
not exist in Russia.<br /><br /><b>Many high-ranking personalities in the world have taken a stance for
you. Do you think that this will have an impact on the decisions of the
government? To which extend the judiciary power is related to politics?
<br /></b><br />Support is very important. In Russia there are a lot of servile
bureaucrats, ready to do anything at all in the hope of winning the
approval of their bosses. Without public attention I am completely
defenceless. In the last two weeks both the US Senate and the Bundestag
in Germany have adopted special resolutions which characterizes our
case as politically motivated selective justice and which call for
independent and fair trial. The initiative of Pier Ferdinando Casini,
President of the UDC Party of Italy, deserves a special attention. <br /><br />There is no doubt that the entire YUKOS affair has been politically
motivated from the start. The reason - a desire to undermine support
for an independent opposition. However, today the situation has
changed: now the commercial, corruptional interests of a series of
middle-level officials who had personally lined their pockets in the
course of the destruction of the company have come to the forefront.
They fear that their dirty hands will be revealed.<br /><br /><b>Do you expect more from Italy? Or do you think that some initiatives
may be undermined by the friendship between Berlusconi and Putin? </b><br /><br />The friendship of Berlusconi and Putin influences the relations between
our countries. However, without a basis in values and institutions, as
European history teaches us, the situation can not be stable. I hope
that Berlusconi understands this, while the friendly relations will
allow him to discuss such sensitive topics with Putin, and to discuss
them constructively.<br /><br /><b>Do you have any hope in a commitment from the new American President
Barack Obama to intervene on the Kremlin about your detention?</b><br /><br />There is no doubt that a decision with respect to my case is going to
be adopted in Russia, but not in the Khamovnichesky Court (where the
trial is taking place). There is likewise no doubt that our officials
would very much like to portray their decision as the decision of an
"independent court". I learn the name of Barack Obama in connection
with the US Senate resolution which was adopted in regard to our case
2005 at his and others initiative, I hope that Obama, as a person who
has directly and openly declared about the unacceptability of the
situation in Guantanamo, will demonstrate to his counterparts that he
has no illusions in the given question as well.<br /><br /><b>Do you think it will take long time until Russia will become a full democracy?</b><br /><br />As I understand it, a democratic country - this is a country with
well-formed institutions. Including institutions such as elections,
courts, civil society, etc. Independent and fully functioning. I
believe that if we do not collapse into yet another authoritarian
stagnation, then in the next 8 years we may be able to build such
institutions, and, in one or two years it will be clear what direction
we are heading in.<br /><br /><b>Do you admit any mistakes in your life before detention? If yes,
which? Do you think the economic power you reached was harmful for you?
Why where you considered so "annoying"?</b><br /><br />I have made quite a few mistakes. The main one - I consider - is the
fact that I spent 10 years building Russian industry, when what needed
to be built was democracy. The main annoyance to the power was caused
by the existence of an independent centre of support for the
opposition. This turned out to be completely unacceptable for them.<br /><br /><b>What kind of relations did you have with politics before the detention?</b><br /><br />I have always supported the opposition. And during the time of Yeltsin
too. He knew this. I have a deep internal conviction that an
influential, independent opposition is indispensable for Russia. But it
is extremely dangerous for a corrupt bureaucracy.<br /><br /><b>Regarding the allegations against you do you have any idea why they
were made? Who else benefits from you detention other than Putin?</b><br /><br />There is no doubt that besides the political interest in undermining
the opposition on the threshold of the 2003 parliamentary elections,
there were also the commercial interests of a series of persons. With
time, these have moved to the forefront. Now it is already they who are
personally dictating the power's line of behaviour in this case,
contrary to the real needs of the country.<br /><br /><b>Will your eventual release have a negative impact on the image of
the establishment? Why does this not happen and you are under new
allegations that keep you in prison?</b><br /><br />Quite considerable sums changed ownership with a complete lack of
transparency in the course of the rout of the company (we are talking
about approximately three milliards dollars). Now these "owners" are
very worried and are determined to indemnify themselves, hiding behind
the cover of the "political" interests of the country.<br /><br /><b>What kind of books do you read in jail? Do you watch television?
What programs? Do you have any idea of how the world has changed in
these years?</b><br /><br />Today's Russian jail - this, of course, is not the GULAG, although many
habits and traditions have remained. With books, newspapers, magazines
they practically do not restrict me. I subscribe and read much. Of
course, the categorical prohibition on the internet narrows the
informational horizon. The state television channels give a very
peculiar view of the world. But in general, given certain skills, which
every intellectual living in the USSR has, one can work. Which I do. I
even sometimes get published. True, then, it happens, they throw me
into the penalty isolator. All in all, GULAG-light.<br /><br /><b>When you are released, will you fight for changing the situations in
the Russian prisons? How do they look like? May you please describe
your relations with the other prisoners?</b><br /><br />I truly think that my obligation is to help to protect the rights of
those who are subjected to criminal prosecution. In this regard, I
support the steps to conduct the legal reform which have been declared
at the highest level of the Russian leadership. Today in Russia,
besides several hundred political prisoners, a huge quantity of people
have found themselves in jails during the grabbing of their property by
raiders making use of corrupt courts and law-enforcement organs.<br /><br />Tens, if not hundreds, of thousands of people out of almost a million
Russian prisoners have become victims of a dependent justice, the
pursuit of rank, positions, material incentives by policemen,
procurators, judges. Try to appreciate this: tens of thousands of
destinies broken every year.<br /><br />It is enough to say that relatively independent jury trials in Russia
acquit every fourth person, while so-called "professional" judges
acquit only one in three hundred. And yet it is they who have a
monopoly on hearing 99% of cases, which are frequently determined by
corruptional or pseudo-political interests.<br /><br /><b>Would you like to say anything to those that are following your case even from abroad?</b><br /><br />First, I want to thank them for their support. Plain and simple, it
helps both me and my colleagues to survive. Second, and most important,
- Russia - is a part of Europe politico-geographically (80% of Russians
live in Europe) and culturo-historically (merely recall the history of
the House of the Romanovs). A single understanding of common European
values, democratic institutions, including an independent judiciary, -
is the best guarantee of trust in Europe. It is trust that gives birth
to security, including energy security.<br /><br />

I am convinced that talk about the YUKOS affair - is not only a
"humanitarian" topic. This is also a question of trusting Russian
institutions of power. <br /><br /><b>How do you imagine your life out of jail? Do you have any projects in your mind that help you get over these moments?</b><br /><br />Much has changed in the years that have gone by, my children have grown
up, my parents have aged. I have many moral debts to repay. But how?
For now, I don't know. Life will suggest something.]]>
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Energy Blast - July 3, 2009</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/energy_blast_-_july_3_2009.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19262</id>

    <published>2009-07-03T09:10:18Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-03T09:31:07Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[The European Commission's Gas Co-ordination Group has warned Europe to brace itself for a potential gas disruption, and suggests that EU countries need to prepare themselves more actively for the possibility.&nbsp; The turnaround in Europe's attitude towards nuclear power, stoked...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>Editor</name>
        
    </author>
    
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[The European Commission's Gas Co-ordination Group has warned Europe to brace itself for a<a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/ukraine/5723880/Europe-urged-to-stockpile-gas.html"> potential gas disruption</a>, and suggests that EU countries need to prepare themselves more <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/rbssUtilitiesMultiline/idUSL212230120090702">actively </a>for the possibility.&nbsp; The turnaround in Europe's attitude towards nuclear power, stoked by a desire to<a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/ac97b56e-6769-11de-925f-00144feabdc0.html"> diversify away from Russian energy supplies</a>,
is the subject of an article in the FT.&nbsp; The Economist suggests
that the Ukraine-Russia gas war, rather than emphasizing Europe's
dependence on Russian gas, has simply made it a <a href="http://www.economist.com/world/europe/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13944892">far less attractive prospect</a>.&nbsp; Hungary's Mol may <a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/1009/42/379261.htm">lose the license</a> that its Russian joint venture owns to an oil and gas deposit in western Siberia.&nbsp;&nbsp; In Russia the State Council Presidium has assembled to discuss <a href="http://www.oilandgaseurasia.com/news/p/0/news/5182">energy efficiency</a>.&nbsp; Gazprom is looking for deals in Africa and the Caspian Sea area, where it feels it needs to be <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&amp;sid=aDk_.y4R59.E">'</a><i><a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&amp;sid=aDk_.y4R59.E">strategically present'</a></i>.&nbsp; The company has <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&amp;sid=am9419IgVdiM">started exploration</a> as part of the Sakhalin-3 project.&nbsp; Egyptian company Maridive may sign contracts to <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&amp;sid=acCca.AFmx6g">build pipelines</a> in Russia and India.&nbsp; Russia is apparently <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/reutersComService_3_MOLT/idUSTRE5614I020090702">not producing enough oil to fill a new $4 billion pipeline</a> to the Baltic.&nbsp; Barack Obama is expected to urge Russia to <a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/600/42/379258.htm">change its attitude to alternative energy supplies</a>.&nbsp;  ]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Today in Russian Business - July 3, 2009</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/today_in_russian_business_-_july_3_2009.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19261</id>

    <published>2009-07-03T09:02:00Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-03T09:09:17Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[Avtovaz has warned that with its gargantuan losses, it may be difficult to face the future without more state help.&nbsp; Unilever intents to build an $140 million ice cream factory, which will be the biggest plant in Russia to make...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>Editor</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <category term="business" label="business" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[Avtovaz has warned that with its gargantuan losses, it may be difficult to face the future <a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/600/42/379251.htm">without more state help</a>.&nbsp; Unilever intents to build an <a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/600/42/379249.htm">$140 million ice cream factory</a>, which will be the biggest plant in Russia to make the frozen dessert.&nbsp; Medvedev has warned regional leaders that they must use <i>'all means available'</i> to<a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/1009/42/379261.htm"> pay wage arrears</a>.&nbsp; The government is planning to launch measures<a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/1009/42/379261.htm"> to combat unemployment</a> in 20 one-company towns.&nbsp; Shipbuilder Sevmash has been berated by Medvedev, after there were delays in building an aircraft carrier for a <a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/1009/42/379252.htm">$1.6 billion deal with India</a>.&nbsp; Apparently Chinese state-run carmaker Beijing Automotive Industry Holding is gearing up for an offer for Opel, but Sberbank has said it does not <i>'<a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/1009/42/379257.htm">see any serious competition</a>'.</i>&nbsp; President Medvedev has said that economy class housing should cost no more than <a href="http://www.itar-tass.com/eng/level2.html?NewsID=14107278&amp;PageNum=0">30,000 rubles per square meter</a>.&nbsp; The Russian Audit Chamber has said that Cuba had <a href="http://www.itar-tass.com/eng/level2.html?NewsID=14112171&amp;PageNum=0">three times delayed paying back</a> the Russian credit provided in September 2006 and yet the Kremlin imposed no fine.&nbsp; Megafon may buy up to 5% o<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&amp;sid=aHBd2PE.Zjgg">f Vimpelcom shares</a>.&nbsp; Forbes reports on how foreign investors' fears about Russia are <a href="http://www.forbes.com/2009/07/02/medvedev-economy-property-investment-opinions-contributors-russia.html">substantial and substantiated</a>. <br /> ]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>RA&apos;s Daily Russian News Blast - July 3, 2009</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/ras_daily_russian_news_blast_-_july_3_2009.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19260</id>

    <published>2009-07-03T08:34:34Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-03T09:29:15Z</updated>

    <summary> TODAY: Obama taxes Putin with living in the past; Pepsi&apos;s role in Cold War thaw; reserve currency may be discussed at Putin-Obama meeting; is Medvedev really the host?; Chechens suspected in Klebnikov murder on wanted listBarack Obama has verbally...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Editor</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <category term="politics" label="politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="russia" label="russia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-image" style="display: inline;"><a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/capt.76a8c9feb1e84272872a1f5c8c8a6cdd.russia_india_aircraft_carrier_xaz109.htm" onclick="window.open('http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/capt.76a8c9feb1e84272872a1f5c8c8a6cdd.russia_india_aircraft_carrier_xaz109.htm','popup','width=400,height=278,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0'); return false"><img src="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/capt.76a8c9feb1e84272872a1f5c8c8a6cdd.russia_india_aircraft_carrier_xaz109-thumb-200x139.jpg" alt="capt.76a8c9feb1e84272872a1f5c8c8a6cdd.russia_india_aircraft_carrier_xaz109.jpg" class="mt-image-left" style="margin: 0pt 20px 20px 0pt; float: left;" height="139" width="200" /></a></span> <div><i><b>TODAY</b>: Obama taxes Putin with living in the past; Pepsi's role in Cold War thaw; reserve currency may be discussed at Putin-Obama meeting; is Medvedev really the host?; Chechens suspected in Klebnikov murder on wanted list</i><br /><br />Barack Obama has verbally chastised Putin for keeping <i>'<a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/jul/02/barack-obama-vladimir-putin-russia">one foot in the old ways of doing business </a>and one foot in the new'</i>.&nbsp; Medvedev hopes for <a href="http://www.itar-tass.com/eng/level2.html?NewsID=14110223"><i>'intensive and full-fledged talks'</i></a> with the US President.&nbsp; Whilst Medvedev may be the official host, an op-ed piece in the Moscow Times argues that <a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/1016/42/379239.htm">Obama needs to engage with Putin</a> to tackle the thorniest issues.&nbsp; During Obama's visit, a breakfast meeting with the Prime Minister may involve <a href="ttp://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/07/02/AR2009070202270.html">discussions of the reserve currency</a>.&nbsp; According to the Financial Times, it looks like both sides may <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/7439e2c8-6769-11de-925f-00144feabdc0.html">dig their heels in </a>on the issue of missile defense.&nbsp; It's going to be <a href="http://www.economist.com/opinion/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13944748">tough </a>for Obama, says the Economist.&nbsp; Another article in the <a href="http://www.economist.com/world/europe/displaystory.cfm?story_id=13941990">Economist</a> suggests that Russian anti-americanism is largely due to an inferiority complex on the Kremlin's part.&nbsp; <br /><br /></div>]]>
        <![CDATA[Russia and the US will be celebrating the anniversary of the<a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/600/42/379247.htm"> first '<i>capitalist food product'</i> to arrive in the Soviet Union</a>,
which was Pepsi, 50 years ago, seen being drunk by Khrushchev.&nbsp; The Moscow
Times looks at the media's attempts to find links, even the most <a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/1010/42/379245.htm">tenuous</a>, between Barack Obama and Russia.<i>&nbsp; </i>A spokesman for Medvedev has said that US Secretary of Defense Robert Gates <a href="http://www.itar-tass.com/eng/level2.html?NewsID=14112172&amp;PageNum=0">was wrong</a> to reveal details of his talks two years ago with then President Vladimir Putin.&nbsp; <br /><br />Eminent US economist Joseph Stiglitz has called the terms required for joining the WTO <i>'outrageous' </i>and has <a href="http://en.rian.ru/world/20090702/155417328.html">lauded Russia</a> for showing resistance to the '<i>extortion'.</i>&nbsp; The<a href="http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/troops-gather-on-georgian-border-1729636.html"> Independent</a> reports on how tension on the Georgian border with South Ossetia is <i>'palpable'</i> but analysts are divided as to whether a new invasion will take place.&nbsp; A <a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/1010/42/379244.htm">second Russian soldier has asked Georgia for asylum</a> in a week.&nbsp; The New York Times examines how<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/03/world/europe/03russia.html"> Russia's attempts to maintain influence among its neighbours</a> with loans are not always met with submission.&nbsp; <br /><br />Investigators have put three Chechens suspected of killing U.S. journalist Paul Klebnikov on an<a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/1010/42/379246.htm"> international wanted list</a>.&nbsp; Pro-Kremlin youth groups have <a href="http://www.moscowtimes.ru/article/1010/42/379246.htm">banned</a> Gazeta.ru journalists from attending their summer camp.<br /><br />
<b>PHOTO</b>: President Dmitry Medvedev visits the Sevmash
factory in the northern city of Severodvinsk July 2, 2009.&nbsp;
(REUTERS/Alexander Zemlianichenko) <br />]]>
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Wonks Weigh In: What White House Would Want</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/wonks_weigh_in_what_white_house_would_want.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19259</id>

    <published>2009-07-02T22:37:15Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-03T01:35:57Z</updated>

    <summary>I just couldn&apos;t resist the alliteration temptation. What we&apos;re looking at here is the broader directions that should result from next week&apos;s Obama-Medvedev powwow. Former U.S. National Security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski offers a three-pronged strategy in the Financial Times for...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>El Maestro</name>
        <uri>http://www.robertamsterdam.com/venezuela</uri>
    </author>
    
    <category term="americas" label="americas" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="energy" label="energy" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="europe" label="europe" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="politics" label="politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="russia" label="russia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p>I just couldn't resist the alliteration temptation. What we're looking at here is the broader directions that should result from next week's Obama-Medvedev powwow. </p>

<p>Former U.S. National Security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski offers a three-pronged strategy in the Financial Times for President Obama when he travels to Moscow next week. In the July/August issue of Foreign Affairs, Robert Legvold offers a template for improving US-Russia relations in general. Since this is a blog, and not a newspaper or brick-sized bi-monthly periodical, I'm going to re-engineer the formats of these two articles into what should be an easy reference in the future for those not willing to plow through a 6,000-word appeal to the Obama Administration to redesign relations with Russia NOW. First, Brzezinski:</p><p><br /></p>]]>
        <![CDATA[Goal 1: Advance US-Russian co-operation in areas where mutual interests coincide. <p>
Difficulty level: Easy<br />
Examples: reciprocal reductions in nuclear weaponry; resolving ABM shield a compromise on US plans for an anti-ballistic-missile shield and joint efforts to enhance the nuclear non-proliferation treaty; other unnamed security arrangements.</p>

<p>Goal 2: Emphasize the mutual benefits in handling disagreements between the two countries within internationally respected "rules of the game".<br />
Difficulty level: Medium - sensitive but unavoidable.<br />
Examples: Georgia-Russia relations; Iran relations.</p>

<p>Goal 3: Help shape a geopolitical context in which Russia becomes increasingly conscious of its own interest in eventually becoming a genuinely post-imperial partner of the Euro-Atlantic community.<br />
Difficulty level: Hard - can only be sought indirectly.<br />
Examples: Georgia-Russia relations; Ukraine relations; in general, reversing the disintegration of the Soviet Union.</p>

<p>Robert Legvold goes a bit more macro-meta and takes eight times the space to spell out not just what should happen next week, but what a revamped US-Russia relationship should strive for over the next several years.</p>

<p>Broadly, the highest priorities are nuclear arms, energy and security. Everything else - climate change, illegal contraband trafficking, cybersecurity and international financial architecture reform are all tied for a very distant second.</p>

<p>The basic strategies Obama can deploy in dealing with Russia: <br />
</p><ol><li>Call things by their name - the view that Russia is an authoritarian, bullying, and aggressive power and admit that a new Cold War is on and act accordingly.</li><li>Assume that despite some important areas of potential cooperation, various impediments make a genuine partnership an illusion. As Legvold puts it:


<blockquote>
  <p>"Russia's readiness to contest many aspects of U.S. foreign policy
and its indifference to values that Americans consider important create
a fundamental barrier. According to this view, the best strategy
combines selective engagement with selective containment and calibrates
the two in ways that enhance engagement while softening the edges of
containment. U.S. policy has more or less evolved in this direction
over the last several years, albeit without a well-formulated design,
and much of the U.S. political establishment and the U.S. media seem to
have endorsed it."</p></blockquote></li><li>Forging a "strategic partnership" based on engagement, even
reconciliation, regarding energy, regional security and nuclear weapons.</li></ol><br /><p>Deploying the third strategy, which is the one Legvold is clearly advocating, begins with the three items that Obama laid out in April: arms control (specifically, agreeing on a strategy for continuing START I at its conclusion in December), Iran and Afghanistan. Following that, four areas dominate all others:</p>

<ol><li>European security</li><li>Eurasian security</li><li>Nuclear security</li><li>Energy security<br /></li></ol><blockquote><p>"Not coincidentally, these also frame the most friction-laden aspects of the U.S.-Russian relationship, namely, the future relationship of Georgia and Ukraine with NATO, the role of ballistic missile defense in central Europe, the U.S.-Russian interaction in the post-Soviet area, and the jockeying over oil and gas pipelines."</p></blockquote>

<p>On European security: </p>

<blockquote><p>"The dialogue about European security should start with each side's assessment of the core threats facing Europe. It should then evolve into an open-ended discussion of how Europe's existing security institutions might be improved to better address these threats, mitigate the insecurity felt by states left outside these institutions (such as Georgia and Ukraine), and create an overarching framework in which NATO and parallel organizations in the Commonwealth of Independent States could address various security challenges together. Although this must be a conversation among Americans, Russians, and Europeans, a bilateral dialogue between Washington and Moscow would offer a crucial basis for testing the potential of a broader European security dialogue."</p></blockquote>

<p>On Eurasian security:</p>

<blockquote><p>"The starting point for this discussion should be a frank and practical look at how each side sees its own and the other's concerns, interests, and role in the post-Soviet area. However awkward and tense this discussion gets, it must address the specific sources of friction: NATO's activities, the claims and counterclaims surrounding the separatist conflicts in Moldova and the Caucasus, the role of Western nongovernmental organizations in the region, Russia's leverage over its neighbors, and competition over oil and gas. The dialogue must especially explore ways in which the United States and Russia can work together to manage the two most explosive issues: the future of Ukraine and the way toward a more stable and constructive Russian-Georgian relationship."</p></blockquote>

<p>On Nuclear security, Legvold articulates five challenges, one of which I think is redundant, so I have shortened it to four:</p>

<ol><li>What is the best way to strengthen nuclear nonproliferation and how can Iran and North Korea be prevented from further eroding it.</li><li>Minimize the risk of nuclear proliferation as more states seek nuclear power
for supposedly meeting their energy needs - an effort that requires
working with nuclear power suppliers, which will require close
cooperation between the United States and Russia, which is a reason to
revive the stalled negotiations for a so-called 123 agreement that
promotes peaceful commercial nuclear activities between the two
countries. </li><li>"In their own nuclear relationship, the United States and Russia are no longer
like "two scorpions in a bottle," but if left unregulated, their
choices -- about whether to pursue ballistic missile defense, weaponize
space, introduce nuclear weapons into conventional war doctrines --
could still be destabilizing."</li><li>The United States and Russia will have to lead any effort to establish a broader multilateral arms control regime designed to reduce the hazardous aspects of the nuclear postures of the other nuclear powers, particularly those weapons systems in China, India, and Pakistan that blur the line between conventional and nuclear attacks.

</li></ol><p>On Energy security:</p>

<blockquote><p>"Discussing ways to bring Russian oil and liquefied natural gas to the North American market and to enhance cooperation within the consortia developing Caspian Sea oil, while vigorously pursuing dueling pipeline projects, raises the core question: Do the two countries intend for the relationship to be cooperative or competitive?"</p></blockquote>

<p>Finally, though this paragraph appears in the first half of the article, I though it more appropriate to close with:</p>

<blockquote><p>"Finally, just as Russia has the right to wish for a U.S. foreign policy less given to unilateralism, less enamored of the military option, and more attuned to the security interests of other states, the United States has the right to hope that Russia will gradually understand that it is in its national interest to deal with its neighbors by adopting a strategy of reassurance rather than a crude one of wielding carrots and sticks, particularly sticks."</p></blockquote>

<p><br />
Brzezinski's original article accessible <b><a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f39b4af0-6667-11de-a034-00144feabdc0.html?nclick_check=1">here</a></b>.</p>

<p>Legvold's original article accessible <b><a href="http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/65154/robert-legvold/the-russia-file">here</a></b>.</p>]]>
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>No Charm Offensive in Russia</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/no_charm_offensive_in_russia.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19252</id>

    <published>2009-07-02T18:09:13Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-02T18:45:44Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[Polls show that Russia is one of the nations whose citizens are least interested in Barack Obama, and pessimistic that his leadership will head toward positive changes in international relations.&nbsp; That means that if Obama were hoping to survive on...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>Robert Amsterdam</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <category term="politics" label="politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="russia" label="russia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[Polls show that Russia is one of the nations whose citizens are least interested in Barack Obama, and pessimistic that his leadership will head toward positive changes in international relations.&nbsp; That means that if Obama were hoping to survive on the charm offensive, pitching an over-the-heads speech along the lines of the Cairo approach to the Muslim world, he will be disappointed, <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/europe/07/02/starobin.obama.russia/">argues Paul Starobin on CNN</a>.<br /><br /><blockquote><p> Obama cannot call for democracy in Islamic societies while
altogether ignoring its retreat in Russia. More generally, Americans,
and American presidents, like to steer clear of the vocabulary of
realpolitik, a language redolent of the Old Europe against which
America decisively rebelled centuries ago.</p><p> The likelihood, then,
is for stalemate in the contest between Obama's campaign for the hearts
of the Russians and their demand to be free of American meddling in
their old imperial stomping grounds. </p><p> The Russian people are
probably not going to come away with a pronounced negative view of
Obama -- he is acutely sensitive to cultural protocol wherever he goes
and has yet to make a wrong step. But as for his global charm offensive
-- this is where it comes to a halt.</p></blockquote><br /> ]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>The Economic Damage of Politicized Justice</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/the_economic_damage_of_politicized_justice.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19250</id>

    <published>2009-07-02T16:38:45Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-02T16:52:08Z</updated>

    <summary>Stephen Blank has an interesting new article on Forbes in which he assesses the economic damage being caused by Russia&apos;s inability to effectively reduce legal nihilism and corruption, both of which are dragging on the country&apos;s attempt to recover from...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Robert Amsterdam</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <category term="americas" label="americas" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="business" label="business" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="politics" label="politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="russia" label="russia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/cgi-bin/mt4/mt-search.cgi?search=%22stephen+blank%22&amp;IncludeBlogs=1&amp;limit=20">Stephen Blank</a> has an interesting new article on <a href="http://www.forbes.com/2009/07/02/medvedev-economy-property-investment-opinions-contributors-russia.html">Forbes</a> in which he assesses the economic damage being caused by Russia's inability to effectively reduce legal nihilism and corruption, both of which are dragging on the country's attempt to recover from the crisis.&nbsp; Sticking out like a sore thumb is of course the second trial of Mikhail Khdorkovsky, which will be in full session during the first state visit of President Barack Obama.&nbsp; Blank describes the Khodorkovsky trial as a "<i>palpable judicial farce</i>," and if President Dmitry Medvedev is unable to take action to solve the situation it will "<i>confirm the widespread belief that he is merely a tool of his predecessor, a placeholder until Putin resumes the presidency.</i>" </p>

<blockquote><p>When he was a candidate to lead Russia, Dmitry Medvedev denounced the country's "legal nihilism." Now, as president, he has often spoken in favor of judicial independence. Yet one year after his inauguration, with President Obama set to pay a state visit on Monday, Russia remains engulfed by a tidal wave of corruption, hamstrung by a politicized justice system that is chasing away the enduring foreign investment and economic stability that Russia so desperately needs.</p></blockquote>]]>
        <![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Ikea, the Swedish home furnishings giant, just declared a moratorium
on investment in Russia, frustrated by officials' endless efforts to
extort bribes. As it seeks membership in the Organization for Economic
Cooperation and Development and World Trade Organization, Russia ranked
147th out of 180 countries last year in Transparency International's
Corruption Perception Index, behind Cuba, Libya and Iran and tied with
Syria and Bangladesh (see story, "The Most Corrupt Countries"). A
recent survey of private equity investors by Coller Capital found
Russia tied with sub-Saharan Africa as the riskiest emerging market,
and Russia led the list with the biggest increase in riskiness since
last year.</p><p>This is catastrophic for Russia, where the economy contracted at a
9.5% annual rate in the first quarter. The country must attract diverse
and durable investment to break free of export dependence that causes
gross domestic product to surge and plummet with every fluctuation in
oil prices as speculators jump in and out of its boom-bust stock
market. Inflation and unemployment each exceed 10%, and the average
salary is about $500 a month.</p><p>Symbolizing all that is wrong with the Russian system is the current
trial of Mikhail Khodorkovsky and his former partner, Platon Lebedev,
who ran the Yukos Oil Company. The absurd charges against them--for
example, embezzling 350 million tons of oil--are an attack on the
fundamental right of individuals to own property under law. As this is
the second trial for both men, it is a palpable judicial farce. </p></blockquote>



]]>
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Obama Walks Into the Maw of the Russian Bear</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/obama_walks_into_the_maw_of_the_russian_bear.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19248</id>

    <published>2009-07-02T16:25:52Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-02T16:36:52Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[President Dmitry Medvedev is actually saying pretty warm things ahead of the summit, but our friends over at the Economist couldn't resist themselves.&nbsp; I've seen worse....]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>Robert Amsterdam</name>
        
    </author>
    
    <category term="russia" label="russia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[President Dmitry Medvedev is actually saying <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5g-8wLpXhQPVf6MQ1bzzhrPVzor7gD9968B5G1">pretty warm things</a> ahead of the summit, but our friends over at <a href="http://www.economist.com/printedition/displayStory.cfm?Story_ID=13944748">the Economist</a> couldn't resist themselves.&nbsp; I've seen <a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2006/12/economist_cover_story_on_russia.htm">worse</a>.<br /><br /><span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-image" style="display: inline;"><img alt="economistcoverjuly2_09.jpg" src="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/economistcoverjuly2_09.jpg" class="mt-image-center" style="margin: 0pt auto 20px; text-align: center; display: block;" width="400" height="526" /></span>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>Grigory Pasko: Screening the Nord Stream Doc in Germany</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/grigory_pasko_screening_the_nord_stream_doc_in_germany.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19244</id>

    <published>2009-07-02T13:51:37Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-02T17:30:43Z</updated>

    <summary>Remember this number Grigory Pasko, journalist Если Вы хотите прочитать оригинал данной статьи на русском языке, нажмите сюда.I recently had the pleasure of participating in a screening of my short documentary film on the Nord Stream pipeline project in the...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Grigory Pasko</name>
        <uri>http://www.robertamsterdam.com</uri>
    </author>
    
    <category term="energy" label="energy" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="europe" label="europe" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="russia" label="russia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-image" style="display: inline;"><a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/pipes070209.htm" onclick="window.open('http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/pipes070209.htm','popup','width=340,height=228,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0'); return false"><img src="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/pipes070209-thumb-220x147.jpg" alt="pipes070209.jpg" class="mt-image-right" style="margin: 0pt 0pt 20px 20px; float: right;" width="220" height="147" /></a></span><p><b>Remember this number</b></p>

<p><i>Grigory Pasko, journalist</i></p>

Если Вы хотите прочитать оригинал данной статьи на русском языке, <a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/ru/2009/07/post-52.html">нажмите сюда</a>.<br /><br />I recently had the pleasure of participating in a screening of my short documentary film on the Nord Stream pipeline project in the cinema hall of the Berlin historical museum.&nbsp; Our modest event was graced with some impressive attendees: Nord Stream AG Jens Müller (who heads up their public relations), Neel Strøbæk of Rambol (the group which carried out the environment assessment report in accordance with <a href="http://www.unece.org/env/eia/">the Espoo Convention</a>); Tobias Münchmeyer of Greenpeace, Bundestag Deputy Rainder Steenblock and around 70 audience members.  A discussion took place after the showing of the film.<p>I can't help but notice a pattern of multiplicity taking place.&nbsp; When we first showed the film inside the Swedish Parliament, just one Nord Stream representative showed up.&nbsp; When we were invited for a screening in the Finnish Parliament, there were two waiting there for us.&nbsp; And finally, when we came to Berlin, there was a foursome.&nbsp; Logically, I suppose we can expect eight Nord Streamers to come to the next showing.<br /></p>]]>
        <![CDATA[<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-image" style="display: inline;"><a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/par070209.htm" onclick="window.open('http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/par070209.htm','popup','width=340,height=191,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0'); return false"><img src="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/par070209-thumb-220x123.jpg" alt="par070209.JPG" class="mt-image-left" style="margin: 0pt 20px 20px 0pt; float: left;" width="220" height="123" /></a></span>Anyways, on to the screening itself.&nbsp; At the risk of boasting, I am openly proud to report that the doc was well received, and even got a round of applause upon conclusion.&nbsp; Then,
in the spirit of fairness and healthy debate, Müller and Strøbæk were given their opportunity to show their videotapes about the wonderful pipeline project - with production budgets and quality that I could only salivate over.&nbsp;
According to the rules of the proceedings, they asked the organizers of
the event for 15 minutes. In fact they used up half an hour.&nbsp; If we
consider that my film went on for 44 minutes, then the organizers of
the event had the right to demand from Nord Stream monetary
compensation for the opportunity to pitch their pet project.<br /><br />What stuck in memory from Nord Stream's advertising reels?&nbsp; The fact that a map of the planned route was shown on screen, but with a new offshoot from the main pipe,
going off onto the territory of Sweden.&nbsp; Earlier, if my memory serves me
correctly, such an offshoot had been spoken of as a possibility.&nbsp; However the map shown in the propaganda film suggests that the decision has already been finalized.
It begs the question: is this some type of method of exerting pressure on Sweden, so that
it would more quickly adopt a decision on the wobbly EIA report?<br />
<br />The second important point raised in Berlin this week was the ongoing lack of transparency about the costs of this project. Müller stated that the overall cost of the project would be 7.4
billion euros. Let us remember this number, because in fact many predict that it will turn
out to be twice as much. (They could blame the crisis, for example...). In so doing, at
my insistent requests, Mr. Müller specified more precisely that this figure does not account for the cost of the Gryazovets-Vyborg gas pipeline -
a significant component part of the whole gas project. I will remind you all that the cost
of just this pipeline is 5 billion euros. That is, in such a manner, that we are already talking about a total of 12.4 billion euros. If we take into consideration the fact that former Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder had cited a price of 9 billion euros for the underwater stretch of the pipeline, then
the real cost of construction must be somewhere in the vicinity of 15 billion euros, which is already closer to the truth as it is
understood by financial and energy experts.<br /><br />It goes without saying that answers to some of my questions once again
did not ring out from the lips of the company representatives.&nbsp; What, for example, is the total damage that will be caused to the
environment of the Baltic Sea region?&nbsp; What are the conditions of the
agreement with Russia for deliveries of gas through this pipeline?&nbsp; Will
there be a service platform near Gotland?&nbsp; Who will be responsible for retrieving the pipes from
the sea bottom after 50 years of operation of the pipeline? And so on.<br /><br />There was one more particularly memorable comment from Müller:&nbsp; "<i>Our project
ends on the beach in Lübmin.</i>"&nbsp;&nbsp; This phrase eloquently makes it clear that the Nord Stream company only exists to build the pipeline, and will not be responsible for all the aftermath - such as the removal of several hundred tons of metal stretching a distance of 2,400 kilometers from the bottom of the Baltic Sea. <br /><br />Tobias Münchmeyer of the enviro watchdog Greenpeace made an important observation in saying that the project, from the very start, was the
decision of just two politicians - Putin and Schroeder, of whom <a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2008/06/schroder_bags_390000_annually_for_nord_stream.htm">at least one is now directly making his living</a>.&nbsp; And the decision of
these politicians to build the pipeline on the sly fell though - the
company Nord Stream was forced to do everything openly and to react to
the remarks of the general public, including the concerns raised by the green movement, and those of
many countries of the Baltic region.&nbsp; In addition, in the opinion of
Tobias, a land-based project is both safer in the environmental sense
and much cheaper than the marine variant.<br /><br />Deputy Steenblock mentioned that the company Nord Stream has
been forced on numerous occasions to rewrite the project documentation
and to conduct additional expert research. Until the active
intervention of the public they, apparently, were not intending to do
this.<br />
<br />In conclusion, the organizers of
the Berlin documentary film festival invited me to take part in their
October events. (It seems I will have to decline, because it is with great
difficulty that my film, to my own subjective yet impartial eye, can be
called a movie - perhaps the glitzy commercials from Nord Stream would stand a better chance).&nbsp; Secondly, speaking on behalf of Nord Stream, Mr. Müller firmly promised that <a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2008/05/the_stasi-fication_of_german_energy_supply.htm">Mr. Mattias Warnig</a> will remain inaccessible to me
henceforth as well, as for many years now I have been seeking an interview.&nbsp; It is true that I have also submitted all manner of formal applications for the opportunity to interview Mr.
Schroeder also, but apparently some still hold him in honor as a denizen of heaven at the company headquarters in Zug, Switzerland, so therefore they don't pronounce his name in vain.<br /><br />So despite all this, as the journalists are deprived of access and answers, we'll continue exploring these important issues, and reporting and sharing everything we can learn.<br />]]>
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>War is Always the Enemy&apos;s Fault</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/war_is_always_the_enemys_fault.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19243</id>

    <published>2009-07-02T12:54:01Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-02T12:54:58Z</updated>

    <summary>From Cathy Young in the Wall Street Journal:Given all this, a war seems unlikely. What&apos;s more probable is that Russia will seek to destabilize Georgia without military action. This saber-rattling may be meant to boost Georgian opposition to Mr. Saakashvili.Still,...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>James</name>
        <uri>http://www.robertamsterdam.com</uri>
    </author>
    
    <category term="russia" label="russia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[From Cathy Young in <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124649267530483121.html">the Wall Street Journal</a>:<br /><br /><blockquote><p>Given all this, a war seems unlikely. What's more probable is that
Russia will seek to destabilize Georgia without military action. This
saber-rattling may be meant to boost Georgian opposition to Mr.
Saakashvili.</p><p>Still, Moscow's actions are not always rational. If the pro-war
faction believes that the Western response to an assault on Georgia
would be weak and half-hearted, it could be emboldened. In a June 25
column on the EJ.ru Web site, Russian journalist Yulia Latynina writes
that the probability of the war "depends solely on the Kremlin's
capacity to convince itself that it can convince the world that the war
is its enemies' fault."</p><p>That is why it's essential for the United States and the EU to
respond now -- by increasing their non-military presence in Georgia,
expressing a strong commitment to Georgian sovereignty, and reminding
Russia of the consequences of aggression. Such a statement from
President Obama in Moscow would go a long way toward preventing the
possibility of another tragedy.</p></blockquote>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>A Bouquet of Russian Myths</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/a_bouquet_of_russian_myths.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19242</id>

    <published>2009-07-02T12:32:25Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-02T12:51:32Z</updated>

    <summary>We believe that David Ignatius&apos;s article in the Washington Post is very well worth reading today, as he discusses some of the dominant themes that came up during a recent conference sponsored by the Russian Institute entitled &quot;What Does Russia...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>James</name>
        <uri>http://www.robertamsterdam.com</uri>
    </author>
    
    <category term="politics" label="politics" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="russia" label="russia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[<span class="mt-enclosure mt-enclosure-image" style="display: inline;"><a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/pikalyovo070209.htm" onclick="window.open('http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/pikalyovo070209.htm','popup','width=610,height=395,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0'); return false"><img src="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/assets_c/2009/07/pikalyovo070209-thumb-220x142.jpg" alt="pikalyovo070209.jpg" class="mt-image-right" style="margin: 0pt 0pt 20px 20px; float: right;" width="220" height="142" /></a></span>We believe that David Ignatius's article in <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/07/01/AR2009070103025.html?sub=AR">the Washington Post</a> is very well worth reading today, as he discusses some of the dominant themes that came up during a recent conference sponsored by the Russian Institute entitled "What Does Russia Think?"&nbsp; (oddly, I unknowingly gave yesterday's <a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/video_what_russia_wants.htm">video interview</a> a similar title).&nbsp; The result is a presentation of a bouquet of modern myths about Russia - such as Putin's authoritarianism being mistaken with economic success (instead of coincidence with high oil prices), the strongman legend, the distrust and antagonism toward the outside world, and the other "heaps of memes" (as <a href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2008/12/obama_and_the_not-so-new_cold_war.htm">Michael Idov</a> would describe them) that contribute to our common understanding of Russian politics.&nbsp; Ignatius is aware of these shortcuts of logic and rationalism, so the argument he presents over the Grand Inquisitor paradox takes the longitudinal view that the problems Russia is experiencing are the same from 100 years ago.&nbsp; Interesting stuff.<br /><br /><blockquote><p>
"Putin is the leader. There is no disagreement about that. Putin came
to power and life improved," argued a member of the Russian Duma. He
described Putin's political intuition in the way that 19th-century
Russians spoke about the czar: "Putin knows what the society needs
better than the society does."
</p></blockquote> <div><br /></div>]]>
        <![CDATA[<blockquote><p>Putin is the tough guy who put a wounded country back together after
the fall of communism. "Russia emerged from the chaos of 1991 with
disproportionately large political and socio-psychological scars,"
explained Alexey Chesnakov, a former Putin adviser who is director of
the Center for Current Policy. When Putin became president in 1999, he
brought "authoritarianism by consensus," said the head of another
Russian think tank.
</p><p>Modern Russia is still anxious, even though it's more orderly.
Russians worry about the jumble of nationalities within their borders
and assertive neighbors such as Georgia and Ukraine. It's an
"overheated, overloaded society," said a prominent anthropologist who,
like some of his colleagues, was speaking on background. Nervous
Russians are "running away from their freedom," offered a leading
sociologist. With the loss of its empire, Russia is "like an amputated
body," ventured Vyacheslav Glazychev, an urban planning professor who
heads several institutes. It has a "<i>horror vacui,</i> a fear of empty spaces," he added.
</p><p>
"We want equality. We want our interests recognized -- to have them
considered as significant," said one Russian panelist. But when
Americans attending the meeting asked for specifics, another Russian
who is a prominent politician suggested: "The real problem is that we
don't understand what we want."
</p></blockquote>




]]>
    </content>
</entry>

<entry>
    <title>How to Avoid Traveling to Russia</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2009/07/how_to_avoid_traveling_to_russia.htm" />
    <id>tag:www.robertamsterdam.com,2009://1.19241</id>

    <published>2009-07-02T12:18:19Z</published>
    <updated>2009-07-02T12:24:52Z</updated>

    <summary><![CDATA[I've heard of some really wild excuses by diplomats to avoid having to travel to Russia, but throwing yourself to the ground in an airport and shattering your elbow really takes the cake.CBS News:&nbsp; Clinton Won't Travel to RussiaJust kidding,...]]></summary>
    <author>
        <name>James</name>
        <uri>http://www.robertamsterdam.com</uri>
    </author>
    
    <category term="americas" label="americas" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    <category term="russia" label="russia" scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://www.robertamsterdam.com/">
        <![CDATA[I've heard of some really wild excuses by diplomats to avoid having to travel to Russia, but throwing yourself to the ground in an airport and shattering your elbow really takes the cake.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2009/07/01/politics/politicalhotsheet/entry5128471.shtml"><b>CBS News:&nbsp; Clinton Won't Travel to Russia</b></a><br /><br />Just kidding, HRC, get well soon.<br />Love, the RA blog team.<br /> ]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>

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