The French philosopher André Glucksmann has been one of Europe's most outspoken advocates in support of liberty of Russian political prisoners, such as Mikhail Khodorkovsky. Here in City Journal is a translation of a thought piece by Glucksmann relating to Russia's ambitions in terms of "spheres of influence," European sovereignty, and of course the Georgia problem.
Independent Georgia must survive through this summer. Last year, the Russian army positioned itself just 20 miles from Georgia's capital, Tbilisi--one hour on the highway by tank. Clouds are gathering: large military maneuvers, inflammatory media rhetoric, and a Russian veto in the UN Security Council that interrupted the work of neutral observers. The UN and the OSCE have packed their bags, leaving 200 observers, restricted to the Russian side. Pavel Felgenhauer, a military specialist based in Moscow, fears that the Russian military command will take advantage of the absence of observers in Georgia to concoct some pretext to invade and fulfill their fondest wish--to "hang Saakashvili by the balls," as Putin threatened in 2008. (After all, didn't Germany invade Poland in 1939 by trotting out two unfortunate Polish border guards, whom the Germans accused of "invading" the Third Reich?)
Andrei Illarionov, Putin's special advisor until 2006, shares similar apprehensions. It's hard to know what to expect. Sergei Kovalev, an activist and a friend of the late Andrei Sakharov, dissuades me from trying to read the signs of the times. The Russian rulers are not strategists, he says; they settle their accounts day by day, attend to their own interests, and plan their gangsters' business month by month and year by year. But the current heads of the Kremlin will never forgive the young Georgian leader his crime of pro-Western sympathies.
Can President Obama and the European Union contain Moscow's ambitions and whims? Or will they purchase a fallacious and precarious tranquility by sacrificing Georgia's independence? At stake is the very sovereignty of Europe: its energy independence. Energy has become decisive because for Putin, gas is now a weapon as powerful as a deterrent arsenal. Consider a popular song performed by a military choir in Moscow. Its chorus depicts the "radiant future" that Gazprom is preparing: "Europe has a problem with us? We will cut off its gas; a big smile will rise in our eyes and happiness will leave us no more." Similar sentiments are expressed toward the Ukraine and its desire to join NATO, as well as toward American forces all over the world. The Russian public loves the song.
If Tbilisi falls, there will be no way to get around Gazprom and guarantee autonomous access to the gas and petroleum wealth of Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan, and Kazakhstan. As for the global credibility of President Obama, it will amount to no more than the empty-sleeved gestures of someone whose arms have been amputated.
Felgy... Wasn't he the guy who predicted that the "rather fine" Georgian army would win a confrontation with the Russian army? That is sufficient comment on his skill as a military analyst.
And if the Russians had wanted Tbilisi, it way theirs for the taking last year.
To Rkka .
Yes it was " Dédé " Glucksmann and his alter-ego Mr Bernard Henri Levy ( Known as BHL , another " Philisopher " ) who made these announcements and predictions ( De facto they only copy what Mr Falgenhauer is writing , as their only military experience was throwing rocks on French police in may 68 )
But as the Russian army was rolling towards Tbillisi , they wrote a join article in the French Press where they were calling to " save Saakavilli from beinh hanged by the b[censored] , " no matters who initiated the war" .
The article has been presented written from the town of GORI , a place where nobody saw them ............
It's about time to hammer the final nail on Nabucco's coffin and put the West in its place. Can't wait to see the Russian 58th Army goose-stepping down Rustaveli avenue in Tbilisi. Joe Biden will sure look like a real joker as the US will be helpless again.